Trofense vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TRO
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 2
FEL
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
TRO
12%
18%
71%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
5 - 3
TRO
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
SMA
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
FEL
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +6 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |