Trofense vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 1
AVE
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
UNM
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
TRO
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 2
FEI
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
SCF
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
TON
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 1
TON
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
TON
3 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
TON
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |