Trofense vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
46.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 0
RIO
38%
31%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TRO
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 2
MAR
30%
31%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GON
0 - 2
TRO
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
VST
0 - 2
TRO
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
SPB
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
SPB
2 - 3
WOL
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
VST
60%
24%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |