Trofense vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 2
TRO
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
ADO
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 1
TRO
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
ARO
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TRO
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 2
VAR
62%
20%
17%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
SMA
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
FEL
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SMA
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |