Trofense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LEX
2 - 1
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 1
TON
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 1
AVE
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
UNM
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
PEN
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 2
PEN
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |