Trofense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRO
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 3
TRO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 0
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 2
OLI
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
GFC
4 - 1
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
FEI
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |