Prev. Taça da Liga 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Trofense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SLB
2 - 2
TRO
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
PEN
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIZ
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GFC
2 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |