Trofense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 0
TRO
96%
3%
1%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1994 |
SCP
3 - 1
TRO
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
TIR
0 - 2
TRO
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
NAV
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
3 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
BOA
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |