Trofense vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 0
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SPC
2 - 0
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 1
SCP
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FEI
2 - 0
TRO
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 2
LEX
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 1
TON
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORI
0 - 0
SCF
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ORI
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 0
AVE
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OLH
1 - 1
ORI
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |