Trofense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
LEX
2 - 0
TRO
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
SCP
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 3
PAÇ
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 0
TRO
81%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 4
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAV
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
5 - 3
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 1
ACA
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |