Trofense vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
TRO
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TRO
3 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 3
AVE
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
TRO
65%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
FEI
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BMA
1 - 3
MOR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
SCP
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOR
17%
27%
56%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |