Trofense vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 1
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 0
TRO
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 3
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
TRO
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SCF
3 - 2
FEI
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
5 - 0
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SCP
2 - 2
FEI
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |