Trofense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
SLB
2 - 2
TRO
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAC
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
17%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |