Trofense vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
TRO
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 2
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
TRO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 2
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
TRO
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
SCF
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 0
AVE
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |