Trofense vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 3
TRO
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 5
FEL
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
TRO
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
CES
26%
26%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SCF
0 - 1
TRO
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAN
3 - 1
SOU
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
CAN
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 0
SAL
15%
23%
62%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
5 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 0
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |