Trofense vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 5
VSC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
2 - 0
POR
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BMA
3 - 0
TRO
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
UNM
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 2
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
BOA
71%
20%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACV
63%
23%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
BEL
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ADO
2 - 3
BEL
10%
20%
70%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |