Trofense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LEX
2 - 3
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 0
TRO
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 1
EST
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRO
1 - 2
NAV
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARO
3 - 3
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 2
ARO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 0
SCF
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
ARO
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |