Trofense vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TRO
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
3 - 1
TRO
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TRO
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SMA
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 1
ARO
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
ARO
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
4 - 1
FEL
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +6 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |