Trofense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
TOR
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 2
VAR
84%
12%
4%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
TRO
18%
22%
61%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 1
FAF
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
MOR
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 5
ACA
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |