Trofense vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
TRO
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 3
VIT
27%
31%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 0
UDL
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 1
TRO
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 2
LEX
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAC
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 0
VST
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 0
RIO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |