Trival Valderas vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
8º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CVI
1 - 2
VAL
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 2
CAN
59%
24%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POZ
2 - 2
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
VLO
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
ADA
11%
21%
68%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
RVB
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
LRZ
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TRJ
3 - 2
CDM
24%
28%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 5
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |