Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Trival Valderas vs Arenas de Getxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
ARE
1 - 0
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
CEA
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 3
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ZAR
3 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
ZAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
ARE
1 - 0
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 4
ARE
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ARE
0 - 0
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ARE
4 - 0
JER
39%
27%
35%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
JER
0 - 0
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |