Tritones Vallarta vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
3º
10
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
0 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
0 - 2
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
MIN
10%
14%
75%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
LEO
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
LCU
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSI
2 - 1
MIN
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |