Tritones Vallarta vs Mexicali FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 3
TRI
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
LCU
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CSI
0 - 1
TRI
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 2
HDZ
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
TRI
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 3
EST
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
6 - 0
MFC
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
5 - 0
MFC
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 2
LCU
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSI
3 - 1
MFC
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |