Tritones Vallarta vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
3º
1
7º
10º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LCU
0 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
CSI
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 3
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 2
EST
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
LEO
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CFC
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 1
LCU
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSI
4 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |