Tritones Vallarta vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
8º
4º
2
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
13.5% | 20.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
80.5% | 77% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
DUR
6 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
DUR
31%
29%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAL
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ATS
0 - 1
TRI
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
CSI
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
LCU
0 - 0
DUR
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
GAV
3 - 2
DUR
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
DUR
6 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |