Tritones Vallarta vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
3º
18
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 3
TRI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAY
0 - 2
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSI
4 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LCU
1 - 4
CSI
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CSI
1 - 1
CFC
39%
24%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |