Tritium vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
USB
2 - 2
TRI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 0
TRI
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 2
NIB
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
CAL
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 2
CRE
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SON
1 - 2
CAL
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 1
USP
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |