Tritium vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
TRI
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 2
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
TRI
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
USF
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRI
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 1
TAR
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
2 - 0
BEN
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TER
2 - 0
BEN
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |