Tritium vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRI
70%
20%
10%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRI
0 - 2
USC
21%
27%
53%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
TRI
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRI
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACL
3 - 0
TRE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COM
3 - 0
ACL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACL
1 - 2
ABN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CUN
1 - 1
ACL
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACD
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |