Tristán Suárez vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 1
SUA
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 2
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
SUA
33%
32%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SUA
1 - 0
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EST
2 - 3
SUA
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
VSC
3 - 3
ATL
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
VSC
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VSC
3 - 2
UAI
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 2
VSC
30%
29%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 0
RIE
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |