Tristán Suárez vs UAI Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 1
SUA
22%
28%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
SUA
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 0
RIE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SUA
2 - 1
VSC
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 1
SUA
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 1
ATL
21%
27%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 2
UAI
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 0
ARM
52%
27%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
RIE
1 - 1
UAI
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UAI
0 - 1
BAR
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |