Tristán Suárez vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 0
SUA
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SUA
0 - 0
MOR
49%
27%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
SUA
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PLA
0 - 1
SUA
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SUA
2 - 3
VSC
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
PLA
35%
29%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
ITA
53%
25%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
DEF
28%
28%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ITA
66%
21%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
ACA
33%
29%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |