Tristán Suárez vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 0
SUA
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 0
SMA
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
SUA
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
AGR
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
STM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
SAC
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 1
STM
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
STM
2 - 0
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |