Tristán Suárez vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 4
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
SUA
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 3
ALV
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
SUA
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
AGR
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
QUI
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
SAC
71%
20%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 3
QUI
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |