Tristán Suárez vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 2
ARM
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
SUA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SUA
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 1
SUA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SUA
1 - 4
BAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
0 - 0
PAT
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
DYJ
0 - 0
PAT
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
FER
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDN
0 - 1
PAT
32%
30%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |