Tristán Suárez vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GIM
2 - 0
SUA
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
SUA
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 0
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 0
SUA
53%
26%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 2
CAG
52%
27%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
INS
2 - 2
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
INS
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
INS
0 - 0
CAG
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
INS
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
INS
0 - 0
RSA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |