Tristán Suárez vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 1
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
SUA
36%
26%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
SUA
3 - 0
SAC
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
SUA
1 - 3
ALB
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
FEN
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SMG
1 - 2
COL
41%
28%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COL
0 - 0
JJU
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAD
1 - 0
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |