Tristán Suárez vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUA
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
CHA
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
DAL
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
SUA
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 2
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
BRO
37%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CCO
1 - 1
BRO
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 2
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |