Tripoli vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
7º
12º
12º
7
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
SHA
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 0
TRI
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 4
ALA
29%
27%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
HIK
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 6
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAL
71%
18%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 0
SAL
86%
11%
4%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
ALN
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
ALA
10%
19%
71%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 1
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |