Tripoli vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
TRI
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 2
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
ALA
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 1
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALN
22%
26%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ALA
4 - 1
SAF
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAF
2 - 0
ALG
47%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAF
0 - 0
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SAF
0 - 1
ALA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |