Tripoli vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 0
TAD
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALG
2 - 2
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALA
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALN
5 - 1
TRI
67%
22%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 0
TRI
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAF
1 - 2
ALA
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAD
0 - 0
SAF
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALG
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAF
0 - 1
ALA
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAF
0 - 1
ALN
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |