Tripoli vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 4
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 1
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALF
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
IST
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 3
ALN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAF
3 - 0
RAC
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 3
SAF
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -6 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAF
0 - 0
SAL
69%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +6 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 4
SAF
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAF
3 - 0
HIK
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |