Tripoli vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 3
ALN
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALN
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
WAS
1 - 0
TRI
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
FKA
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
IST
0 - 0
ALF
15%
24%
62%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
KHU
1 - 7
IST
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
IST
3 - 1
BAR
71%
15%
14%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
RAV
1 - 1
IST
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IST
0 - 1
JOH
13%
19%
69%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | -2 |