Tripoli vs Sagesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
2º
14
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 0
TRI
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 1
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
0 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sagesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
2 - 1
TAD
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
HIK
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 0
HIK
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
1 - 2
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
0 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |