Tripoli vs Sagesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
2º
14
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
4 - 0
TRI
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 1
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
0 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sagesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
2 - 1
TAD
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
HIK
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 0
HIK
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
1 - 2
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
0 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |