Tripoli vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALA
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
RAC
48%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
ALN
45%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
RAC
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
7 - 1
TAD
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
4 - 5
ALG
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 3
SAF
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |