Třinec vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Třinec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
FKM
4 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 2
KAR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LOK
1 - 1
TRI
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 2
ZLI
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 1
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 2
SLO
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 3
BOH
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCV
3 - 0
SLO
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 2
LOK
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |