Třinec vs Karviná II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
7º
3º
9
4º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 39 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 36 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 36 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 30 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 27 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 26 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 22 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 22 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 22 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 21 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 21 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 17 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 15 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 11 |
17º
|
35.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Třinec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HLU
1 - 1
TRI
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 1
TJS
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
TRI
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 1
FRY
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 1
TRI
16%
20%
65%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Karviná II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
4 - 0
TJU
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MFK
6 - 1
STR
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
MFK
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ZLI
1 - 0
MFK
68%
16%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MFK
3 - 2
GOR
57%
21%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |