Triglav Kranj vs NK Tolmin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 1
KRS
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALU
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SEN
2 - 1
TRI
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NKD
1 - 2
TRI
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NK Tolmin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
4 - 0
AHM
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 3
KRS
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
TOL
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
NKV
1 - 1
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |