Triglav Kranj vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
6º
53
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BIL
1 - 1
TRI
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
ILI
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
BIS
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
TRI
6 - 1
TOL
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ILI
0 - 4
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
BIS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KRK
1 - 2
GOR
46%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
TOL
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 2
BIL
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |